Scotland, Brexit, and Independence

Sunday, December 8, 2019 at 11:03 (UTC+0000)

The United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland is holding a major election later this week.  It will likely determine the course of Brexit, which is the proposed exit of the UK from the European Union.

If the conservative Tories get a majority, Brexit will likely go ahead, and the next question will be whether it happens rapidly without agreements (on January 31) – which many fear would incur damaging confusion in many industries – or drags on with further negotiations – now going on more than three years since the initial referendum – of which everyone has grown very tired.

If the Labour or the Social Democratic party gets a majority, Brexit might still go ahead (but only with more negotiations), or possibly there could be a second referendum to just drop the whole idea.

Scotland (part of Great Britain) is watching the results very closely.  In a kind of microcosm, many here want their own independence from the overbearing power next door: England.  Whether that makes economic sense is likewise also a question.

So these are interesting days to be living in Edinburgh and St Andrews.  You can see more about this in the following news report:

    Scotland is a key battleground in Brexit-dominated election | PBS NewsHour Weekend

Will the UK break from the EU?  And if that happens, will Scotland break from the UK?  And if that happens, will Catalonia be energized to break from Spain?  Will it all devolve into a number of quarreling states ripe for the picking by outside powers?  Will the UK become the 51st state of the USA?  Stay tuned!